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2024-12-14 11:18:45

The Central Meteorological Observatory continued to issue the gale blue warning at 06: 00 on December 13th. It is estimated that there will be 5 winds and gusts of 6-8 in parts of central and eastern Inner Mongolia, northwestern Shanxi, northern Hebei, central Henan and southwestern Shandong from 08: 00 on December 13th to 08: 00 on December 14th. Most of the Yellow Sea, most of the East China Sea, Taiwan Province Strait, east of Taiwan Province, bashi channel, northern and central South China Sea, and Beibu Gulf will have strong winds of 7-8 grades and gusts of 9 grades.The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 94.7%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 94.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 4.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22.3%.Foreign media: BRICS countries lead global economic growth in 2024. On the 13th, Reference News published a report on the website of Brazil's Tribune magazine that "BRICS countries lead GDP growth in 2024 and surpass rich countries". The summary of the report is as follows: In 2024, the BRICS countries are expected to lead the global economic growth, leaving the richest countries behind. It is estimated that India's economy is expected to grow by 7% this year, and China, the second largest economy in the world, is also expected to achieve the economic growth target of around 5%. For other members of the group, the growth figures are also positive, such as Russia (3.6%) and Brazil (3%). These growth rates exceed those of the United States (2.8%), South Korea (2.5%) and the European Union represented by Spain (2.9%).


Hong Kong Monetary Authority: In November, the foreign assets of the Exchange Fund increased by HK$ 30.8 billion to HK$ 3,506.4 billion. On December 13, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority announced the main analytical accounts of the Exchange Fund at the end of November 2024. In November, the foreign assets of the Exchange Fund increased by HK$ 30.8 billion to HK$ 3,506.4 billion. The monetary base is HK$ 1,950.1 billion, including certificates of indebtedness, notes and coins in circulation issued by the government, balances in the banking system and issued Exchange Fund bills and bonds. Claims on the private sector in Hong Kong amounted to HK$ 287.8 billion. Total external liabilities amounted to HK$ 28 billion.On the tariffs proposed by the Trump administration, Costco executives said that the company had faced tariffs in the past and believed that its businesses had the ability to cope with this situation.Broadcom: The artificial intelligence semiconductor business will surpass other businesses.


According to the medical report, Brazilian President Lula removed the drainage tube from his head at night and is still in the intensive care unit. Lula is still conscious and speaks normally.Apple is reported to cooperate with Broadcom to develop AI chips, and TSMC's advanced process will welcome big orders again. On December 13, it was reported that Apple intends to invest in self-developed AI chips, jointly develop them with Broadcom, and produce them in TSMC's 3 nm process, and mass-produce them in 2026. The legal person is optimistic that after the development of Apple's self-developed AI chip is completed, the investment is expected, and TSMC's advanced process will usher in another big order. It is understood that Apple's current A-series processors for iPhone and M-series processors for Mac all adopt self-developed strategies, and are exclusively manufactured by TSMC. The legal person believes that once Apple's self-developed chips are extended to AI chips, the cooperation with TSMC will be closer. (Taiwan Province Economic Daily)The central bank's open market will have 1.45 trillion yuan of MLF and 538.5 billion yuan of reverse repurchase due next week. This week, the central bank's open market has carried out 538.5 billion yuan of reverse repurchase operations. Due to the expiration of 354.1 billion yuan of reverse repurchase, the net investment for the whole week is 184.4 billion yuan. The data shows that there will be 538.5 billion yuan of reverse repurchase due in the open market of the central bank next week, including 47.1 billion yuan, 141.6 billion yuan, 78.6 billion yuan, 66.1 billion yuan and 205.1 billion yuan due from Monday to Friday respectively. In addition, there will be 1.45 trillion yuan of MLF and 120 billion yuan of treasury cash deposits due next Monday.

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